January 16, 2006

  • Stirrings in the Desert


    In Tiny Arab State, Web Takes On Ruling Elite


    James Hill for The New York Times


    In Manama, the capital of Bahrain, from left to right, portraits of the
    prime minister, king and crown prince, all members of the Khalifa
    family. More Photos >




    Published: January 15, 2006

    MANAMA, Bahrain
    - Ali Abdulemam, this country's most notorious blogger, sat in the
    boxlike reception room of his father's house in a cramped Shiite
    village dotted with raw cinder-block houses, trying to log onto the
    widely popular Web site that he founded.

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    STIRRINGS IN THE DESERT
    Minority Rule

    This is the last article in a series examining the prospects for democracy in the Middle East.

    Multimedia



    James Hill for The New York Times


    Ali Abdulemam, founder of the Web site BahrainOnline.org, in his father's home.
    More Photos >



    James Hill for The New York Times


    Sheik Adel al-Mawada, second from left, an elected member of the lower house of Parliament, with colleagues in his home.
    More Photos >

    The New York Times


    Bahrain's contrasts: Manama's luxury coexists with poverty and joblessness.
    More Photos >

    The government on this
    flyspeck of an island nation, home to an American Navy base, recently
    renewed its effort to block dozens of opposition Web sites. So Mr.
    Abdulemam, 28, a computer engineer, had to spend about 10 minutes
    whipping through various computer servers around the world before
    finally pulling up his Web site, BahrainOnline.org.

    It
    was National Day, Dec. 16, and some five miles away, the beautifully
    landscaped boulevards of Manama, the capital, were packed with revelers
    enjoying bands and fireworks. Pictures of the ruling princes blanketed
    the city, which was also awash in the national colors, red and white.
    Red and white lights were even wrapped around the palm trees lining the
    main thoroughfares.

    But most of the couple of hundred people
    posting messages in the "National Forum" section of BahrainOnline
    mocked the idea of celebrating the day in 1971 when a Sunni Muslim king
    ascended the throne to rule over a Shiite Muslim majority.

    "In
    Bahrain, glorifying the king means glorifying the nation, and opposing
    the king means betraying the homeland and working for foreign
    countries," wrote one online participant, noting that the formula is
    the mark of a dictatorship. "Should we be loyal to the king or to
    Bahrain?"

    Bahrain, long a regional financial hub and a prime
    example of the power of the Internet to foment discontent, bills itself
    as a leader of political change in the Arab world. It is a claim echoed
    in praise from the United States, which considers Bahrain crucial for
    its many regional military ventures because the American Navy's Fifth
    Fleet is based here.

    But in Bahrain, as across the Arab world,
    those pushing for democratic change want to end minority rule by a
    family, sect or a military clique.

    The royal family here
    dominates, holding half the cabinet positions and the major posts in
    the security services and the University of Bahrain.

    Sheik
    Muhammad al-Khalifa, the prince who runs the Economic Development
    Board, argues that Bahrain should not become a democracy in the Western
    sense. "As traditional Arabs, I don't think democracy is part of our
    nature," he said.

    "I think all people want is accountability," he added, noting that some form of democracy was needed to achieve that.

    So
    political change in the Middle East rests partly on whether and how the
    many minority governments will yield power and allow others to
    participate. So far, the results are anemic.

    The al-Saud tribe
    slapped its name on the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, where local elections
    a year ago have not produced active municipal councils, and crucial
    issues like how much oil wealth the ruling family absorbs are not
    discussed.

    In Syria, the ruling Assad family and its
    confederates from the Alawite minority sect are in crisis, accused of
    assassinating Rafik Hariri, a former Sunni prime minister of Lebanon
    and an important figure who might have been able to rally majority
    support against the Alawites' monopoly on power.

    Of course,
    Iraq remains the biggest experiment of all in changing the practice of
    minority rule. The American occupation has yet to answer whether it is
    possible to forge a democratic government in the Arab world, or if the
    attempt will drown in a cauldron of sectarian bloodshed. But the
    results are being closely watched, perhaps nowhere more than in
    Bahrain, where up to 70 percent of its native population of 450,000 are
    Shiites, similar to Iraq's Shiite-Sunni split. Shiites here also
    increasingly look to moderate religious leaders in Iraq for guidance.

    Some
    political change has occurred. Debate is growing through the Internet,
    satellite television and other forces, and elections this year will
    replace the Parliament and municipal councils first chosen in 2002
    under a new Constitution. Members of the ruling Khalifa family describe
    this as a vibrant process that will ultimately establish a local strain
    of democracy. Yet some of its most senior members and their Sunni
    allies hint that the process is threatened because Bahrain's Shiites
    disloyally serve outside interests like the Shiites in Iran and Iraq.

    Members
    of the opposition call this nonsense and accuse the ruling dynasty of
    questioning their loyalty to avoid having to share power. They say King
    Hamad and his Khalifa clan, descendants of Bedouins from the Arabian
    mainland who conquered this island, taking it from its Persian masters
    in the 18th century, will only make cosmetic changes, noting that
    almost nothing has been done to alleviate the entrenched discrimination
    faced by the poorest segments of the Shiite population.

    "The
    problem with the royal family is that when they give us any democracy
    they think that it is a gift and we have to thank them for it," Mr.
    Abdulemam said. "The time when they were the lords and we were the
    slaves is gone. The new generation is well educated. They won't live
    like our fathers did in the past, when they said O.K. to whatever the
    royal family did."

    A 'Golden Time' Cut Short

    Bahrain's first Parliament, elected in 1973, proved too boisterous
    for King Hamad's father, who dissolved it after 18 months. Opposition
    demands to restore it increased through the 1990's, marked by bombings
    and other sporadic violence. The authoritarian government subjected the
    mostly Shiite opposition political activists to arrest, torture and
    forced exile.

    When King Hamad, now 55, inherited power in 1999, he promised a democracy that he described as "areeqa" or "well rooted."

    He
    announced changes that included amnesty for exiles and the disbanding
    of the dreaded State Security Courts. Bahrainis enthusiastically
    approved the new plan in a public referendum.

    It was then that
    Mr. Abdulemam established his groundbreaking Web site, determined to
    give Bahrainis a place to share ideas and develop plans to deepen
    political change. "It seemed like a golden time, when the country was
    moving from one period in its history to another," he said. "Everybody
    needed a place to talk so I provided it."

    But King Hamad soon hit the brakes. In 2002 he announced a new Constitution, formulated without public consultation.

    The
    cabinet, led by his uncle, a hard-liner opposing democratic change,
    would report to him, not the Parliament. Instead of a single 40-member
    Parliament, he added an appointed upper house. Amending the
    Constitution now required a two-thirds majority of both houses, giving
    the monarch full control. Parliament now could only propose laws, not
    write them. An audit bureau that had previously reported to Parliament
    was replaced with one that would not subject the spending of the royal
    court or the 2,500 royal family members to any public scrutiny.

    "I
    had been full of hope that a new era was coming to Bahrain," Mr.
    Abdulemam said. "But what happened next threw us all in the dirt. When
    the king brought in the new Constitution, everyone was crushed."

    Politics in the Internet Age

    In the old days, with its monopoly over television and radio and the
    ability to shut down newspapers, the Khalifa dynasty would have had
    less trouble controlling the debate. Now, with the Internet and
    satellite television outside its reach, the government resorts to
    tactics like tossing Mr. Abdulemam and two of his fellow Web masters
    into jail for a couple of weeks, as it did last year.

    At the
    time, the opposition orchestrated repeated demonstrations and
    international intervention to help win his release, but legal charges
    of insulting the king, incitement and disseminating false news remain
    pending and can be dredged up at any time.

    One reason the
    Internet is so popular - scores of villages have their own Web sites
    and chat rooms - is that far more can be said about the ruling family
    online than through any other means.

    "Freedom of expression is
    something you have to take, not something that will be granted to you,"
    Mr. Abdulemam said, but he doubts that free speech alone will
    accomplish much. "Their policy basically comes down to, 'Say what you
    want and we will do what we want.' "

    BahrainOnline is the go-to
    political site, with princes, Parliament members, opposition leaders
    and others with an interest in politics saying they consult it daily to
    find out what the opposition is thinking.

    The easiest way to
    ensure a large turnout for any demonstration, the leader of the main
    Shiite opposition group said, is to post the announcement for it on
    BahrainOnline.

    "If something happens anywhere in Bahrain, usually
    within five minutes maximum something about it is happening on my
    site," Mr. Abdulemam said.

    Still, the site's Web masters are
    often criticized for creating a "tabloid" that spreads rumors and
    demeans those considered enemies. Ghada Jamsheer, a women's rights
    advocate who criticized the Shiite clergy for opposing a proposed law
    that would give more defined divorce rights to women, said her face was
    pasted onto a naked body.

    Mr. Abdulemam said his site was
    blamed for trash posted on any site in Bahrain, and his Web masters,
    monitoring as many as 1,000 posts a day, remove anything that promotes
    violence. He laughs when he recalls his arrest and how little his
    interrogators knew about how the Internet works, blaming him for the
    content of every posting.

    Mansour Jamri, editor of a daily
    newspaper, Wasat, and the son of a famous Shiite opposition cleric,
    notes that many of those writing on the Web sites are very young.

    "If
    you don't shout with them you are a corrupt person, you are basically a
    dog used by the government," said Mr. Jamri, who has been portrayed as
    just that.

    Part of the issue is that the press remains hobbled.
    When Abd al-Hadi al-Khawaja, a prominent human rights advocate, was
    arrested in late 2004 after giving a speech attacking the prime
    minister over corruption, no newspaper printed what he had said. For
    that people had to turn to BahrainOnline.

    "This pocket of anarchy is a byproduct of half-hearted democracy," Mr. Jamri said.

    Simmering Frustrations

    In 2002, BahrainOnline led a fight to boycott the elections. As a
    result, Shiites mostly stayed away from the polls, and the vote
    exacerbated the sense among Shiites that the Khalifas and their Sunni
    allies were not interested in treating them as equals.

    Election
    districts were gerrymandered so that sparsely populated Sunni districts
    in the south got almost as many members as the heavily Shiite villages
    in the north. Opposition groups amassed evidence that the government
    gave passports to various Sunni Muslim groups, including members of a
    tribe in Saudi Arabia that had once lived on Bahrain, to alter voting
    demographics.

    Ultimately, Sunnis captured 27 of the 40 seats in
    the election. As in many parts of the Muslim world, fundamentalists
    were the best organized, and a group of Sunni fundamentalists became
    the largest bloc in Parliament. They muted any opposition to the
    government out of concern that it might help spread the influence of
    Shiite Islam.

    The new Parliament spent half its time bickering
    over religious practice. It won a fight to allow fully veiled women to
    drive. It proposed a ban on scantily clad window mannequins. It tried
    to separate the sexes in all classrooms. Last year, alcohol sales were
    banned during a Muslim holiday - a time when tens of thousands of
    visitors arrive from Saudi Arabia to drink.

    What Parliament did
    not do was really confront the government over a chronic housing
    shortage and unemployment, particularly among Shiites. The gap between
    the largely Sunni haves and the Shiite have-nots grows ever more
    apparent and feeds simmering frustration.

    Mr. Abdulemam, for
    example, earns a decent salary as a computer engineer at an
    American-owned company. With a wife who is expecting their first child
    any day, he can not afford $130,000 for a plot of land and does not
    ever expect to be able to.

    He is the youngest of 10 siblings, 4
    of whom still live with their children in his father's house. Some 15
    people live there, with each nuclear family allotted a room. "I know we
    deserve better," he said.

    Exact numbers are hard to pin down in
    Bahrain, but about 27,000 applications are pending for subsidized
    government housing, senior officials concede. Unemployment stands
    officially at 15 percent but runs as high as 28 percent among Shiite
    young adults ages 20 to 24, diplomats and Bahraini economists said.

    Opposition
    members accuse the royal family of monopolizing all available land, and
    say an expatriate community of 250,000 - from Asia and other Arab
    countries - blocks Shiites from most decent jobs. Shiites avoid some
    tough jobs like construction and are generally barred from joining the
    security services. Royal family members concede that more needs to be
    done to improve housing but deny hoarding land. A job training program
    is to begin this month.

    Last spring, the committee in the United
    Nations Commission on Human Rights that monitors racial discrimination
    rebuked Bahrain. The report said that although Bahrain paid lip service
    in its laws to barring discrimination, actual practice lagged.

    When
    Mr. Abdulemam was arrested in February 2005, he found that his
    interrogator was an Egyptian, one of hundreds of Sunni Muslims from the
    Arab world and Pakistan recruited into the security services, given
    houses and usually citizenship.

    "He was asking me whether I was
    loyal to this country," Mr. Abdulemam said sourly. "How can an Egyptian
    ask me about my loyalty? There are many ways to love your country, and
    what I do is one of them."

    The poverty suffered by many Shiites
    seems particularly galling to them given the real estate boom. The
    capital's skyline is dominated by gargantuan luxury office blocs under
    construction, which Bahrainis contend are all owned by the royal
    family. The capital is also plastered with ads for housing developments
    like Riffa Heights, an upscale community with sea views and a golf
    course in a plush neighborhood already dominated by royal palaces where
    Shiites cannot buy land.

    Senior officials call it all essential
    development to attract investment to Bahrain, long the Persian Gulf's
    financial hub but one competing increasingly with far richer emirates
    like Dubai and Qatar.

    The young, American-educated crown prince
    even used a huge tract to build a $150 million Formula 1 racing
    circuit. Talal al-Zain, the investment banker who is the raceway's
    chairman, lauded it as a means of putting Bahrain on the international
    map. The track seems to baffle Bahrainis. For special races on National
    Day only about 500 people, most of them foreigners, sat in stands built
    for 30,000. One Web site mocks the crown prince, Sheik Salman bin Hamad
    al-Khalifa, as "Salman Schumacher," a reference to Michael Schumacher, a top racer.

    Formally,
    the Bush administration has declared that it supports democratic change
    across the region, that the United States will no longer laud despots
    just because they back American policy. "Hopeful reform is already
    taking hold in an arc from Morocco to Jordan to Bahrain," President
    Bush said in his 2005 State of the Union address.

    Practically,
    though, the United States has not pushed for sweeping change out of
    concern for what might happen if states fell into the hands of
    Islamists.

    The Khalifas court the Bush administration
    particularly well. The foreign minister, Sheik Khalid bin Ahmed
    al-Khalifa, noted that a proposed port might provide the deep-water
    docking space needed for the aircraft carriers that now have to anchor
    offshore. Such cooperation has earned Bahrain a free-trade deal and
    praise from Mr. Bush.

    A Shiite-Sunni Divide

    During a protest march on National Day, some of the participants
    chanted "Death to Khalifa!" referring to Sheik Khalifa bin Salman
    al-Khalifa, 69, who has remained prime minister since independence in
    1971. They yelled it in Arabic and Persian, the language of Shiite
    Iran.

    With Iraq holding so much of the people's attention here,
    much the way Iran did after its revolution, the question is whether
    developments in Iraq will lead Bahrain to more sectarianism or more
    democracy. Signs of both exist. Some postings on BahrainOnline include
    portraits of prominent Iranian ayatollahs past and present,
    particularly Khomeini and Ali Khamenei.
    Members of the ruling family generally use such displays to buttress
    the accusation that the basic goal of the Shiites is to establish an
    Iranian-style theocracy in Bahrain.

    But Shiites here respond
    that the ayatollahs are strictly spiritual guides and that native
    Shiites have lived in Bahrain longer than the ruling family and have no
    intention of living under the thrall of yet another foreign power. To
    counter the accusation that their loyalties lie outside Bahrain, the
    Shiite activists stopped hoisting such pictures at rallies.

    "The
    new Iraq is the model," said Sheik Ali Salman, the 40-year-old Shiite
    cleric elected to lead Al Wifaq Islamic Society, the main Shiite
    opposition group, and a man who once organized rallies denouncing the
    American invasion of Iraq. The expectation that Shiites will dominate
    the Iraqi government has given Shiites across the region new
    confidence.

    Speaking fluent English learned during five years
    of exile in Britain, the cleric ticks off all the steps Iraqis have
    taken toward choosing their own leaders in the same period that King
    Hamad has been busy consolidating power while warning against moving
    too quickly to carry out change.

    Most Shiites follow one
    senior cleric on matters of religious practice in their daily lives.
    Mr. Abdulemam said he used to look to Khomeini in Iran, but recently
    switched to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, the moderate and powerful
    Shiite cleric in Iraq.

    Sunnis in Bahrain are at times incensed
    when Shiites fax Ayatollah Sistani questions, like asking him whether
    they must obey traffic laws, because King Hamad is not, in their view,
    a legitimate Islamic ruler. (He faxed back to say yes, they do.)

    Where
    many Shiites here used to watch Al Manar, the satellite channel
    broadcast from Beirut by the militant Shiite group Hezbollah, they have
    switched to the Iraqi-run Euphrates channel. When a bombing kills
    Shiites in Iraq, some in Bahrain wear black.

    Shiites and Sunnis
    silently assess all events in Iraq, which are both feeding democratic
    yearnings and deepening the divisions between them.

    "If a Sunni
    area is bombed, the Sunnis wish it was a Shiite area; they don't say
    it, but they feel it," said Sheik Khalid al-Khalifa, a prince and an
    academic who serves on the Shura Council, the appointed upper house of
    Parliament. "It's the same for the Shiites. It's all reflected here."

    Abeer Allam contributed reporting for this article.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/15/international/middleeast/15bahrain.html?pagewanted=all

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